COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (12/19/2015)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): 

  1. Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot

  2. Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot

  3. Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean)

  4. Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot)

  5. Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables

  6. Notable Trends and Observations

COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS:

LAST 252 TRADING DAYS

LAST 126 TRADING DAYS

LAST 63 TRADING DAYS

LAST 21 TRADING DAYS

LAST 10 TRADING DAYS

Cumulative Return Tables:

Notable Observations and Trends:

  • The Healthcare composite has shown the most durable positive, relative performance of the groups. It has been a top 3 performer over the last 252, 21, 10 trading day periods.
  • Over the last 63 trading days Treasury bond yields have been the number 1 performer. If Treasury yields continue to outperform, it's likely that any selloff in equities will reverse course.
  • Energy and Oil + Gas continue to underperform across time periods with no end in sight. 
  • Precious Metals Miners are also hurting over the last 252, 126 and 63 day time frames. I wonder if, at some point a bullish case could be made given that their largest input (Oil and Gas) continue to decline in price.
  • It's interesting that over the last 21 trading day period there were no composite groups with positive cumulative returns.